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Trends to Watch in 2008

 & Jim Louderback jim_louderback@ziffdavis.com

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Buying Guide: Trends to Watch in 2008

Jim Louderback

Contents

Okay, okay, I know I'm late. Yes, this is the February issue, and I'm just now making my 2008 predictions. But let's face it, unless you're pawing through this issue in the local library (get a subscription, cheapskate) you're probably reading this in January. And January is the perfect time to ponder what's going to happen this year. Why? Because the excesses of the holiday season are over, and it's time to start thinking seriously about how this year will be different. So here are a few things to chew on.

YTO JOINS SEO AS A NOBLE PROFESSION: Search engine optimization began as a naked attempt to game Google, Yahoo!, and others for financial gain. But now it's a respected profession, as necessary for Web development as usability and data modeling. In 2008 YouTube Optimization, or YTO, will emerge as a distinct and desirable skill.

Video is far different from textual content in how it's created, promoted, and consumed. Current schemes designed to drive video virality and pump up viewership revolve around fake message-board postings, paid blogging, and other spamlike techniques. But other emergent video promotion techniques actually help users find more of what they like.

Gaming YouTube will give way to truly useful optimization techniques. And as video becomes an essential part of any Web site (another 2008 trend), figuring out how to get your users to find, consume, and share your videos with ease will become essential. The folks who do it well—and ethically—will be in great demand and should make a lot of money.

VISTA DEATH SPIRAL ACCELERATES: We will see the first service pack for Windows Vista in 2008, but it won't help. The latest version of Windows will remain a bloated, unstable, unappealing, and slow system. Although most PCs will ship with Vista, most users will long for XP. Sure, networking will get better, and maybe the current crop of drivers will improve. But don't hold your breath. By the end of 2008, Vista will be even more despised than it is today.

Oh, and even more bad news for Vista. It'll own a huge chunk of the computer market by December, making it irresistible for hackers worldwide. Expect to see some major Vista nastybots crop up this year—next: Leopard Changes Its Spots >

About Our Expert

Jim Louderback

Jim Louderback

jim_louderback@ziffdavis.com

With more than 20 years experience in consulting, technology, computers and media, Jim Louderback has pioneered many significant new innovations.

While building computer systems for Fortune 100 companies in the '80s, Jim developed innovative client-server computing models, implementing some of the first successful LAN-based client-server systems. He also created a highly successful iterative development methodology uniquely suited to this new systems architecture.

As Lab Director at PC Week, Jim developed and refined the product review as an essential news story. He expanded the lab to California, and created significant competitive advantage for the leading IT weekly.

When he became editor-in-chief of Windows Sources in 1995, he inherited a magazine teetering on the brink of failure. In six short months, he turned the publication into a money-maker, by refocusing it entirely on the new Windows 95. Newsstand sales tripled, and his magazine won industry awards for excellence of design and content.

In 1997, Jim launched TechTV's content, creating and nurturing a highly successful mix of help, product information, news and entertainment. He appeared in numerous segments on the network, and hosted the enormously popular Fresh Gear show for three years.

In 1999, he developed the "Best of CES" awards program in partnership with CEA, the parent company of the CES trade show. This innovative program, where new products were judged directly on the trade show floor, was a resounding success, and continues today.

In 2000, Jim began developing, a daily, live, 8 hour TechTV news program called TechLive. Called "the CNBC of Technology," TechLive delivered a daily day-long dose of market news, product information, technology reporting and CEO interviews. After its highly successful launch in April of 2001, Jim managed the entire organization, along with setting editorial direction for the balance of TechTV.

In the summer or 2002, Jim joined Ziff Davis Media to be Editor-In-Chief and Vice President of Media Properties, including ExtremeTech.com, Microsoft Watch, and the websites for PC Magazine, eWeek and ZDM's gaming publications.

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