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Apple Blames Weak iPhone Sales on China, Fewer People Upgrading

Demand for the new iPhones is failing to reach the company's expectations due to worsening economic conditions in China and on factors like the $29 iPhone battery replacement program the company offered to consumers a year ago, Apple said on Wednesday.

 & Michael Kan Principal Reporter

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They may be new and cutting-edge, but the latest iPhones are failing to attract as many consumers as Apple expected.

On Wednesday, Apple CEO Tim Cook issued a rare letter to investors, warning them that company sales during this past fourth quarter won't hit the original $85 billion to $93 billion in revenue the tech giant had originally projected.

Apple now estimates that the quarterly sales will only come in at $84 billion — or about about $4 billion less than what the company raked in a year ago.

So why the slowdown? According to Cook, fewer people are buying the new iPhones in one of the company's biggest markets: China. But he isn't blaming the downturn on the product's high price in the country, which can start at $1,265 for an iPhone XS.

Instead, Cook is pointing to the US's ongoing trade war with the country for worsening the economic conditions in China. "The effects appeared to reach consumers as well, with traffic to our retail stores and our channel partners in China declining as the quarter progressed," Apple's CEO wrote in his letter.

Tim Cook at WWDC 2017

"Lower than anticipated iPhone revenue, primarily in Greater China, accounts for all of our revenue shortfall to our guidance," he added.

Another factor in the slowdown: Apple's decision a year ago to offer $29 battery replacements for older iPhones, which can help prolong the devices' performance. This led some consumers, particularly in developed markets, to stick with their existing iPhones rather than upgrade to the new, but more expensive models.

On top of all this, some consumers held off on buying a new iPhone because of fewer carrier-backed subsidies, which can help lower the total cost of a new device, Cook said. "We have sort of a collection of items going on," he told CNBC. "Some macro-economic and some that are Apple specific."

The revised guidance from Apple comes as total sales in the smartphone market have been struggling to grow, at a time when product prices are reaching beyond $1000. One study recently found that US consumers will on average wait 2.83 years before upgrading to a new handset.

To help encourage sales, Cook said his company has been offering trade-in deals, where a consumer exchanges their old iPhone to help go toward paying for a new model.

The good news for Apple is that demand for non-iPhone products remained high during the fourth quarter. "Wearables grew by almost 50 percent year-over-year, as Apple Watch and AirPods were wildly popular among holiday shoppers," Cook wrote in his letter. Mac products and the iPad are also on track for year-over-year revenue growth.

The company is slated to report the full fourth quarter earnings later this month on Jan. 29.

About Our Expert

Michael Kan

Michael Kan

Principal Reporter

My Experience

I've been a journalist for over 15 years. I got my start as a schools and cities reporter in Kansas City and joined PCMag in 2017, where I cover satellite internet services, cybersecurity, PC hardware, and more. I'm currently based in San Francisco, but previously spent over five years in China, covering the country's technology sector.

Since 2020, I've covered the launch and explosive growth of SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet service, writing 600+ stories on availability and feature launches, but also the regulatory battles over the expansion of satellite constellations, fights with rival providers like AST SpaceMobile and Amazon, and the effort to expand into satellite-based mobile service. I've combed through FCC filings for the latest news and driven to remote corners of California to test Starlink's cellular service.

I also cover cyber threats, from ransomware gangs to the emergence of AI-based malware. In 2024 and 2025, the FTC forced Avast to pay consumers $16.5 million for secretly harvesting and selling their personal information to third-party clients, as revealed in my joint investigation with Motherboard.

I also cover the PC graphics card market. Pandemic-era shortages led me to camp out in front of a Best Buy to get an RTX 3000. I'm now following how the AI-driven memory shortage is impacting the entire consumer electronics market. I'm always eager to learn more, so please jump in the comments with feedback and send me tips.

The Best Tech I've Had:

  • My first video game console: a Nintendo Famicom
  • I loved my Sega Saturn despite PlayStation's popularity.
  • The iPod Video I received as a gift in college
  • Xbox 360 FTW
  • The Galaxy Nexus was the first smartphone I was proud to own.
  • The PC desktop I built in 2013, which still works to this day.

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