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2016 iPhone Shipment Outlook: Meh

Nikkei reports that 2016 iPhone shipments could fall "as much as 8.6 percent from 2015."

 & Angela Moscaritolo Managing Editor, Consumer Electronics

Our team tests, rates, and reviews more than 1,500 products each year to help you make better buying decisions and get more from technology.

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Things are not looking up on the iPhone sales front.

Citing unnamed "people familiar with the matter," Nikkei on Monday reported that iPhone shipments are expected to total 210 to 220 million this year, "falling as much as 8.6 percent from 2015" thanks to less-than-stellar demand for a new model. Nikkei's source said that Terry Gou, chairman of Hon Hai Precision Industry (aka Foxconn, one of Apple's biggest suppliers) told his staff that iPhone demand will "remain feeble until at least early next year."

If this comes to pass, it wouldn't be too much of a surprise. Apple in April posted its first-ever year-over-year decline in iPhone sales, and first revenue drop in 13 years. Apple sold 51.2 million smartphones in the most recent quarter, down from 74.7 million in the previous quarter and a 16 percent drop from the same time last year when it sold 61 million iPhones.

Meanwhile, Cupertino logged its first quarterly decline in smartphone sales during the 2015 holiday season, according to Gartner. iPhone sales were down 4.4 percent during the last three months of the year compared to the same time period a year earlier (71.5 million iPhones sold versus 74.8 million).

Looking forward, a report last week revealed that future iPhones destined for use on the AT&T network and those of overseas carriers will use Intel chips. Other iPhone versions, including those for sale in China, will continue to use chips from rival Qualcomm.

Other rumors indicate that Apple's next iPhone could be waterproof, have an AMOLED display, and ditch its headphone jack. It may also look substantially different from the iPhone 6s.

About Our Expert

Angela Moscaritolo

Angela Moscaritolo

Managing Editor, Consumer Electronics

My Experience

I'm PCMag's managing editor for consumer electronics, overseeing an experienced team of analysts covering smart home, home entertainment, wearables, fitness and health tech, and various other product categories. I have been with PCMag for more than 10 years, and in that time have written more than 6,000 articles and reviews for the site. I previously served as an analyst focused on smart home and wearable devices, and before that I was a reporter covering consumer tech news. I'm also a yoga instructor, and have been actively teaching group and private classes for nearly a decade. 

Prior to joining PCMag, I was a reporter for SC Magazine, focusing on hackers and computer security. I earned a BS in journalism from West Virginia University, and started my career writing for newspapers in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.

The Technology I Use

My little Florida beach bungalow is brimming with smart home tech. I have a smart speaker or display in every room, allowing me to control other connected devices by voice. The Nest Hub on my bedside table lets me set wake-up alarms, control my smart light bulbs, and set the temperature on my smart thermostat. I use the Amazon Echo Show 8 on my kitchen counter to browse recipes, reorder protein powder, check the weather, and watch the news while I do dishes. 

Because I suffer from allergies, air purifiers are essential. My favorite model is the Dyson Purifier Cool TP07, which doubles as a fan and continuously sends indoor pollution data to its companion mobile app. 

My pitbull Bradley sheds, so a good robot vacuum is a must. I currently use a premium Ecovacs Deebot that can both vacuum and mop, empty its own dustbin, and wash its own mop cloth. 

For fitness, I like to mix up my routine with cycling, indoor rowing, running, and strength training in addition to yoga. I take classes on the Tonal 2 smart strength training machine, I row indoors on an Aviron machine, and track my beach runs with an Apple Watch while listening to music on my Apple AirPods Pro. On the weekends, I love riding e-bikes like the rugged, beach-friendly Aventon Aventure for fun and fitness.

My job involves a lot of virtual meetings, so a quality webcam, microphone, and ring light are important. I use the Jabra PanaCast 20 webcam, the Elgato Wave: 3 microphone, and a Yesker tripod ring light. 

As for my preferred phone platform, I'm an iPhone person, but I've also extensively used Android for product testing.

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