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Amazon Could Run Out of Workers by 2024

A leaked Amazon memo obtained by Recode says the company 'will deplete the available labor supply' for US warehouse workers by 2024 unless it makes changes to how it does business.

 & Francisco Lahoz Junior Writer/Associate Producer

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Tales of lackluster working conditions and high turnover rates at Amazon warehouses are nothing new. If one worker walks out the door, there's another one ready to take their place, right? Maybe not for much longer, as a new report suggests Amazon could face a worker shortage by 2024.

A leaked Amazon memo from mid-2021, obtained by Recode, has a stark assessment of the company's fulfillment workforce: "If we continue business as usual, Amazon will deplete the available labor supply in the US network by 2024," it says.

In 2019, Amazon's attrition rate was 123%, compared to 46% across the entire US transportation and warehouse sectors, Recode reports. In 2020, it jumped to 159% while the national average climbed to 59%.

Some regions are struggling more than others. According to Recode, Amazon had expected to run out of workers in Phoenix, Arizona, by the end of 2021 and California's Inland Empire region by the end of this year. To prevent that from happening, Amazon reportedly stopped enforcing some of its rules in Phoenix-area warehouses.

Though Amazon has successfully displaced many mom-and-pop shops over the years, it now faces strong competition from other retailing and shipping behemoths like Walmart, Target, and FedEx. Those companies are doing their best to entice former or would-be Amazon employees to work in their facilities with higher hourly wages and sign-on bonuses, Recode says.

The report comes a few weeks ahead of Prime Day, Amazon's big annual shopping extravaganza. Without enough people to pick and pack whatever it is you buy on Prime Day, Amazon can't deliver on those two-day or even two-hour shipping promises.

In 2020, German Amazon warehouse employees went on strike for Prime Day, demanding better pay and working conditions. Earlier that year, a strike at a warehouse in Staten Island, New York, demanded better COVID protections. Workers there later formed the first Amazon union.

About Our Expert

Francisco Lahoz

Francisco Lahoz

Junior Writer/Associate Producer

In undergrad, I was the guy you’d run to if you needed a charge because I always had at least a few portable batteries in my bag. A lifelong interest in technology led me to PCMag, where I'm honing my journalism skills while also getting to nerd out about the latest advancements in computer tech. I’m a current PC gamer and a former console gamer with an unhealthy obsession with custom keyboards.

Run into me in PCMag's lab, and I'm usually benchmarking graphics cards, laptops, and desktops. That means I have a deep practical knowledge of testing software and the latest applications, games, and utilities used to generate our performance analyses. If a piece of tech isn't performing as expected, I'll be among the first to know. (You'll also find me hand-modeling for our product reviews, now and then.)

The Tech I Use

I use an Nvidia GeForce RTX 3070 Ti in my gaming rig at home. I use a Sony Alpha a6400 for amateur photography, but I’ll more often than not rely on the camera on my Google Pixel 9a. I also rely on a pair of Sony WH-CH700N wireless headphones to stream podcasts and cancel out noise on my daily NYC subway commute.

In my downtime, I like to play video games and tinker with home networking solutions. My current obsession is building up a media library on my TerraMaster F4-423 NAS to cut out expensive subscription services.

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