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Analysts: 5G-Enabled Smartphones to Overtake 4G Handsets in 2023

Currently, 5G handsets account for just 0.9 percent of global smartphone shipments, according to market research firm Canalys. By 2023, they are expected to account for 51.4 percent.

 & Angela Moscaritolo Managing Editor, Consumer Electronics

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You probably don't have a 5G smartphone yet, but in the next few years that will likely change.

The Why Axis BugIf market research firm Canalys' latest forecast is correct, 5G-enabled smartphones will overtake 4G handsets, which currently dominate the global market, in 2023. Canalys expects vendors to ship almost 800 million 5G handsets that year and 1.9 billion of them over the next five years.

"Greater China will account for 34 percent of 5G smartphone shipments in 2023, followed by North America at 18.8 percent, and Asia Pacific at 17.4 percent," Canalys wrote in a Monday press release.

Currently, 5G handsets account for just 0.9 percent of global smartphone shipments, Canalys said. By 2023, they are expected to account for 51.4 percent.

Canalys 5G forecast

In the US, only a handful of 5G smartphones are currently available, including the Samsung Galaxy S10 5G, LG V50, and the Moto Z3 and Z4 with their 5G mods. iPhone users will most likely have to wait until late 2020 for a 5G-enabled model.

5G coverage is also very limited. Verizon has 5G in small parts of Chicago and Minneapolis; AT&T claims to have it in parts of 19 cities; and Sprint has it in four cities. PCMag's Lead Mobile Analyst Sascha Segan says broad adoption probably won't start until 2021. Canalys Vice President of Mobility Nicole Peng also says it could take a while before 5G service becomes widely available.

"Mass-market adoption of 5G smartphones does not necessarily mean a successful 5G deployment," Peng said in a statement. "Full 5G deployment will take much longer, and be much more complex than the previous network generation."

About Our Expert

Angela Moscaritolo

Angela Moscaritolo

Managing Editor, Consumer Electronics

My Experience

I'm PCMag's managing editor for consumer electronics, overseeing an experienced team of analysts covering smart home, home entertainment, wearables, fitness and health tech, and various other product categories. I have been with PCMag for more than 10 years, and in that time have written more than 6,000 articles and reviews for the site. I previously served as an analyst focused on smart home and wearable devices, and before that I was a reporter covering consumer tech news. I'm also a yoga instructor, and have been actively teaching group and private classes for nearly a decade. 

Prior to joining PCMag, I was a reporter for SC Magazine, focusing on hackers and computer security. I earned a BS in journalism from West Virginia University, and started my career writing for newspapers in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.

The Technology I Use

My little Florida beach bungalow is brimming with smart home tech. I have a smart speaker or display in every room, allowing me to control other connected devices by voice. The Nest Hub on my bedside table lets me set wake-up alarms, control my smart light bulbs, and set the temperature on my smart thermostat. I use the Amazon Echo Show 8 on my kitchen counter to browse recipes, reorder protein powder, check the weather, and watch the news while I do dishes. 

Because I suffer from allergies, air purifiers are essential. My favorite model is the Dyson Purifier Cool TP07, which doubles as a fan and continuously sends indoor pollution data to its companion mobile app. 

My pitbull Bradley sheds, so a good robot vacuum is a must. I currently use a premium Ecovacs Deebot that can both vacuum and mop, empty its own dustbin, and wash its own mop cloth. 

For fitness, I like to mix up my routine with cycling, indoor rowing, running, and strength training in addition to yoga. I take classes on the Tonal 2 smart strength training machine, I row indoors on an Aviron machine, and track my beach runs with an Apple Watch while listening to music on my Apple AirPods Pro. On the weekends, I love riding e-bikes like the rugged, beach-friendly Aventon Aventure for fun and fitness.

My job involves a lot of virtual meetings, so a quality webcam, microphone, and ring light are important. I use the Jabra PanaCast 20 webcam, the Elgato Wave: 3 microphone, and a Yesker tripod ring light. 

As for my preferred phone platform, I'm an iPhone person, but I've also extensively used Android for product testing.

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