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Netflix Will (Probably) Spend $19 Billion on Video in 2021

Netflix's very reasonable response to growing 808% in the last decade is likely to be spending as much as the GDP of a country such as Georgia or Afghanistan on original content.

 & Eric Griffith Senior Editor, Features

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Ever since Netflix got into the original-content biz back in 2013 with House of Cards, the company has been spending billions every year. That year, it spent $2.4 billion, and the dollar amount has gone up steadily ever since—even when it briefly took a hit and lost some subscribers back in 2019 because of a price hike.

The projections performed by the folks at Bankr, based on Netflix's investor briefings and historical data, shows that the spending won't slow down this year. As subscriber numbers hit a new worldwide high—195.1 million households—Bankr believes Netflix spending will hit $19.03 billion US. You can see the projection table in full here.

That's the equivalent of (or much higher than) the gross domestic product (GDP) of many countries on earth, just about in line with the landlocked west African country of Mali.

The continual push for original content is nothing new for Netflix, but it may have more importance now than ever. The audience growth during the pandemic is probably extreme. Also, other streaming services with their own exclusive content libraries are becoming the new norm. Disney+, HBO Max, and Peacock all have shows or movies that used to be licensed to Netflix (including Marvel movies, Friends, and The Office, respectively)—and that programming is making a killing for the new services. Not that Netflix is suffering much, though, with originals such as The Queen's Gambit and Bridgerton setting viewing records (according to Netflix).

The streaming company is also planning to go big with originals for the growing market in Asia. Having that global audience—something services such as Disney+ and Apple TV+ don't have, at least not yet—makes a difference.

But it also may have to stop production on many shows, as COVID-19 isn't coming to an end anytime soon. So maybe Netflix spending will be reduced in the long run, but the need for the content is only going to grow.

About Our Expert

Eric Griffith

Eric Griffith

Senior Editor, Features

My Experience

I've been writing about computers, the internet, and technology professionally since 1992, more than half of that time with PCMag. I arrived at the end of the print era of PC Magazine as a senior writer. I served for a time as managing editor of business coverage before settling back into the features team for the last decade and a half. I write features on all tech topics, plus I handle several special projects, including the Readers' Choice and Business Choice surveys and yearly coverage of the Best ISPs and Best Gaming ISPs, Best Products of the Year, and Best Brands (plus the Best Brands for Tech Support, Longevity, and Reliability).

I started in tech publishing right out of college, writing and editing stories about hardware and development tools. I migrated to software and hardware coverage for families, and I spent several years exclusively writing about the then-burgeoning technology called Wi-Fi. I was on the founding staff of several magazines, including Windows Sources, FamilyPC, and Access Internet Magazine. All of which are now defunct, and it's not my fault. I have freelanced for publications as diverse as Sony Style, Playboy.com, and Flux. I got my degree at Ithaca College in, of all things, television/radio. But I minored in writing so I'd have a future.

In my long-lost free time, I wrote some novels, a couple of which are not just on my hard drive: BETA TEST ("an unusually lighthearted apocalyptic tale," according to Publishers' Weekly) and a YA book called KALI: THE GHOSTING OF SEPULCHER BAY. Go get them on Kindle.

I work from my home in Ithaca, NY, and did it long before pandemics made it cool.

The Technology I Use

My first computer was a Laser 128, an Apple II-compatible clone with an integrated keyboard, matched with an eye-straining monochrome green monitor. I used it to type papers in college for other people for money...until I discovered the Mac SE in the college computer room. That changed my life. My first cellphone was a Samsung Uproar—the silver one with the built-in MP3 player from the Napster days (the pre-iPod era).

I use an iPhone 15 Pro hourly and an iPad Air infrequently (but I'm always in the market for a cheap Android tablet). I have a PlayStation 5 just to play Spider-Man, and several Windows machines, including a work-issued Lenovo ThinkPad. I talk to Alexa and Siri all day long. I do the majority of my computing on a 15-inch LG Gram laptop attached to a Thunderbolt hub to run a multi-monitor setup—I overdid it on the power needed to simply work from home.

I'm most at home in Microsoft Word after decades of writing there. More and more, I turn to services like Google Docs, using tools like Grammarly. I use Google's Chrome browser due to an addiction to several extensions I think I can't live without, but probably could. I use Excel extensively on data-intensive stories, but for chart creation, we've switched over entirely to using Infogram for interactive features that are hard to find elsewhere. I do a lot of graphics work for my stories, but limit myself to the free and amazing Paint.NET software to edit images.

I'm a firm evangelist for using the cloud for backup and syncing of files; I'm primarily using Dropbox, which has never failed me, but I also have redundant setups on Microsoft OneDrive, plus extra picture backups on Amazon Photos and iCloud. Why take chances? For entertainment, mine is a streaming-only household—my kid has never seen network TV and barely been exposed to commercials, thanks to Roku and Amazon Music. The house is peppered with smart speakers from Amazon for instant gratification and control of smart home devices like multiple Wyze cameras and Nest Protect smoke detectors. I've got accounts on all the major social networks, to my horror. I have a robot vacuum for each floor of the house. I want a 3D printer, but not sure what I'd use it for.

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