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The Pandemic Boom Is Over: IDC Sees Weak PC Demand During Holiday Season

IDC attributes the slump to many consumers having already upgraded to new PCs during the COVID-19 pandemic, along with the ongoing economic downturn.

 & Michael Kan Principal Reporter

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The holiday shopping season wasn’t enough to lift the PC market out of its current slump. Instead, global product shipments fell 28.1% year over year during the fourth quarter, according to research firm IDC.

That marks four consecutive quarters of falling shipments for the sector. “It is clear the pandemic boom is over for the PC market,” IDC says.

However, the decline in Q4 was even worse than the research firm projected with shipments reaching only 67.2 million, down from 92.7 million a year ago. IDC attributes the weak demand to many consumers having already upgraded to new PCs during the COVID-19 pandemic, along with the ongoing economic downturn. 

IDC graphic
Q4 PC shipment numbers

For Q4, all vendors, including Apple, experienced year-over-year declines in shipments numbers, with Dell experiencing the steepest drop at 37.2%. 

The good news is that annual shipments remained above pre-pandemic levels at 292.3 million for the full year. But only Apple experienced positive year-over-year growth for the full period of 2022, at a mere 2.5%. In total, annual PC shipments were down in 2022 by 16.5%.  

IDC graphic
PC shipment numbers for 2022

IDC analyst Jitesh Ubrani also notes: “Average selling prices (ASPs) across many channels also fell as excess channel inventory over the course of the past few months triggered discounting in an effort to spur demand.” So people in the market for a PC should be able to score a deal.

In addition, supply vendors tell IDC that it’s possible portions of the PC market could return to growth late this year or in 2024. Windows 10 is approaching end of support in 2025, which could push many commercial businesses to kick off a PC refresh cycle in the coming quarters. However, IDC says the consumer market “remains a wildcard.”

Another research firm, Canalys, also reported PC shipments falling 29% during Q4. “With rising costs for energy and basic goods in key markets like the US and Europe, expenditure on big-ticket items like PCs has taken a back seat as consumers are prepared to delay refreshes,” says Canalys analyst Ishan Dutt.

About Our Expert

Michael Kan

Michael Kan

Principal Reporter

My Experience

I've been a journalist for over 15 years. I got my start as a schools and cities reporter in Kansas City and joined PCMag in 2017, where I cover satellite internet services, cybersecurity, PC hardware, and more. I'm currently based in San Francisco, but previously spent over five years in China, covering the country's technology sector.

Since 2020, I've covered the launch and explosive growth of SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet service, writing 600+ stories on availability and feature launches, but also the regulatory battles over the expansion of satellite constellations, fights with rival providers like AST SpaceMobile and Amazon, and the effort to expand into satellite-based mobile service. I've combed through FCC filings for the latest news and driven to remote corners of California to test Starlink's cellular service.

I also cover cyber threats, from ransomware gangs to the emergence of AI-based malware. In 2024 and 2025, the FTC forced Avast to pay consumers $16.5 million for secretly harvesting and selling their personal information to third-party clients, as revealed in my joint investigation with Motherboard.

I also cover the PC graphics card market. Pandemic-era shortages led me to camp out in front of a Best Buy to get an RTX 3000. I'm now following how the AI-driven memory shortage is impacting the entire consumer electronics market. I'm always eager to learn more, so please jump in the comments with feedback and send me tips.

The Best Tech I've Had:

  • My first video game console: a Nintendo Famicom
  • I loved my Sega Saturn despite PlayStation's popularity.
  • The iPod Video I received as a gift in college
  • Xbox 360 FTW
  • The Galaxy Nexus was the first smartphone I was proud to own.
  • The PC desktop I built in 2013, which still works to this day.

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