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Demand for PCs May Be Starting To Cool After Historically High Shipments

According to the research firm IDC, the PC market is facing some 'mixed signals' on whether the demand for laptops and desktops will persist.

 & Michael Kan Principal Reporter

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Thanks to the pandemic, and the need to work from home, shipments for PCs soared in 2020 to levels not seen in a decade. However, there’s growing signs the demand may be softening. 

In 2021’s second quarter, PC shipments reached 83.6 million units for a 13.2% year-over-year increase, according to the research firm IDC. 

The 13.2% increase is certainly a positive sign for the PC industry, which had previously stagnated for years on the smartphone’s popularity. However, IDC points out the same figure is down from the 55% year-over-year growth PC shipments saw in 2021’s first quarter. 

It’s also a decline from the 25.8% growth rate the PC market experienced in last year’s Q4, during the holiday season, when vendors shipped 91.6 million units. 

“There are also early indicators of consumer demand slowing down as people shift spending priorities after nearly a year of aggressive PC buying,” added IDC analyst Neha Mahajan. 

The top five PC vendors in Q2, according to IDC.
The top five PC vendors in Q2, according to IDC. (Credit: IDC)

Still, the latest shipment numbers from IDC arrive as the PC industry has also been facing supply shortages for graphics cards, and laptop components. So it’s likely vendors would’ve shipped out more product in Q2, if not for limited manufacturing capacity.  

Interestingly, IDC notes the shortages were bad enough to cause the shipment growth for desktop PCs to outpace laptops in Q2. 

And while the demand for consumers PCs may decline, it’s possible sales for enterprise-focused laptops and desktops will remain strong in the coming months. “With businesses opening back up, demand potential in the commercial segment appears promising,” Mahajan said. 

Meanwhile, a separate research firm, Canalys, has forecasted growth for PC shipments will fall in 2021, due to the ongoing supply crunch. “Crucial components, such as displays, GPUs and other smaller chips that drive PC internals, will face a squeeze for most of 2021 and well into 2022, leaving a significant amount of demand unfulfilled,” the research firm wrote back in March. “If the industry can overcome these persistent issues, we could see higher growth levels.”

About Our Expert

Michael Kan

Michael Kan

Principal Reporter

My Experience

I've been a journalist for over 15 years. I got my start as a schools and cities reporter in Kansas City and joined PCMag in 2017, where I cover satellite internet services, cybersecurity, PC hardware, and more. I'm currently based in San Francisco, but previously spent over five years in China, covering the country's technology sector.

Since 2020, I've covered the launch and explosive growth of SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet service, writing 600+ stories on availability and feature launches, but also the regulatory battles over the expansion of satellite constellations, fights with rival providers like AST SpaceMobile and Amazon, and the effort to expand into satellite-based mobile service. I've combed through FCC filings for the latest news and driven to remote corners of California to test Starlink's cellular service.

I also cover cyber threats, from ransomware gangs to the emergence of AI-based malware. In 2024 and 2025, the FTC forced Avast to pay consumers $16.5 million for secretly harvesting and selling their personal information to third-party clients, as revealed in my joint investigation with Motherboard.

I also cover the PC graphics card market. Pandemic-era shortages led me to camp out in front of a Best Buy to get an RTX 3000. I'm now following how the AI-driven memory shortage is impacting the entire consumer electronics market. I'm always eager to learn more, so please jump in the comments with feedback and send me tips.

The Best Tech I've Had:

  • My first video game console: a Nintendo Famicom
  • I loved my Sega Saturn despite PlayStation's popularity.
  • The iPod Video I received as a gift in college
  • Xbox 360 FTW
  • The Galaxy Nexus was the first smartphone I was proud to own.
  • The PC desktop I built in 2013, which still works to this day.

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