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Sculley's Revenge: The $25 iPhone of the Future

 & John C. Dvorak Columnist, PCMag.com

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John Sculley was a highly successful CEO at Apple and is often unfairly credited for its downturn after Steve Jobs was pushed out of the company around 1985.

Sculley constantly (and unsuccessfully) fights against the false notion that he was somehow responsible for the Apple malaise in the mid 1990's. Listening to a British podcast called The Two Techies made me quite mindful of the false impression of Apple's actual history. One of the hosts said that the company was going downhill when Steve left in 1985. His partner said that it just got worse when Sculley took over. The opposite was true.

This reflects the state of modern tech reporting, a reliance on myths, memes, and folklore. The fact is, in the years Sculley ran the company, revenues went up 10 fold from 800 million to 8 billion. It was his replacements, Spindler and Amelio, who oversaw the great downturn at Apple.

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Unbeknownst to most of the American public, Sculley, who is generally regarded as a marketing genius, has set up shop in India and south Asia creating a phone manufacturing company called Obi Mobiles for  smartphones sales and distribution. The cheapest of its phones is less than $75 unlocked. His line includes a loaded-to-the-gills 8-core stunner that compares favorably with just about any phone available from Nokia, Samsung, or Apple, for that matter. This dual SIM phone sells is the top of the line—and sells for around $150. Running Android 4.4.2 with an 8MP camera, it's pretty much all you need in a smartphone.

It is missing some sensors (such as the magnetometer, compass, barometer, and the gyroscope) but it does have everything else including GPS. Sculley, discussing these phones on France24 TV, says he is not competing with Apple in any way; he describes the iPhone as a high-end luxury product. This is marketing code for "over-priced."

I can tell what Sculley is thinking. The iPhone, hell, the entire market for functional smartphones, cannot maintain itself as fashion items when they become indistinguishable from each other, especially when people put cases on the devices, as most do. If you have to ask "Is that the new iPhone?" it loses its iconic power. It should be immediately identifiable. You should not have to ask.

The other thing he noticed (a lot of people have noticed) is that the Android OS is subversive and changes the math insofar as handset development is concerned. Once Apple figured out what was going on it fired Eric Schmidt of Google from its board. Microsoft stayed clueless and decided to do an unnecessary third OS for these phones.

While Obi itself may not undermine iPhone, cheaper devices with similar functionality is in itself a threat to Apple. Obi is the fastest growing phone in India. At some point people are going to realize that a smartphone should be cheaper than it is. It's all chips with no moving parts, it is subject to Moore's law. The obvious trend: smartphones will be more powerful, but cost $25 in the next few years.

Whether Obi is Sculley's revenge remains to be seen. But note, Sculley, like Jobs, was also ousted by the Apple board. Only he wasn't invited back. Sculley had to be annoyed when Apple bought Steve Jobs' Next Computer company. Now it is Sculley's turn to get some free money.

In any market where fast growth forces the commoditization of the product itself, high-end and luxury versions become a very small niche. That's the iPhone. And "very small-niche" does not match well with Apple's growth plans. Something has to give.

Apple or Microsoft must buy up these companies before it is too late. But even if Apple buys Obi along with Sculley's elaborate distribution network, the price of these phones will continue to fall anyway.

About Our Expert

John C. Dvorak

John C. Dvorak

Columnist, PCMag.com

John C. Dvorak is a columnist for PCMag.com and the co-host of the twice weekly podcast, the No Agenda Show. His work is licensed around the world. Previously a columnist for Forbes, PC/Computing, Computer Shopper, MacUser, Barrons, the DEC Professional as well as other newspapers and magazines. Former editor and consulting editor for InfoWorld, he also appeared in the New York Times, LA Times, Philadelphia Enquirer, SF Examiner, and the Vancouver Sun. He was on the start-up team for C/Net as well as ZDTV. At ZDTV (and TechTV) he hosted Silicon Spin for four years doing 1000 live and live-to-tape TV shows. His Internet show Cranky Geeks was considered a classic. John was on public radio for 8 years and has written over 5000 articles and columns as well as authoring or co-authoring 14 books. He's the 2004 Award winner of the American Business Editors Association's national gold award for best online column of 2003. That was followed up by an unprecedented second national gold award from the ABEA in 2005, again for the best online column (for 2004). He also won the Silver National Award for best magazine column in 2006 as well as other awards. Follow him on Twitter @therealdvorak.

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