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Why the iPhone 5 Probably Won't Have 4G LTE

 & Sascha Segan Former Lead Analyst, Mobile

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The next iPhone is inevitably coming, and to sate the Internet's infinite desire for iPhone speculation, I have been commanded to write about what will be in it.

Obviously, nobody really knows anything about the next iPhone, including whether it will be called the "iPhone 5," although we're all using the term because of search engines. If you'd like to be kept up on the latest rumors, check out our slideshow of iPhone 5 rumors.

But there's one thing I'm pretty sure of: the iPhone 5, or whatever it will be called, won't have 4G LTE. Now, AT&T is going to call it 4G, just you wait. But it won't have LTE.

We're still in the first generation of LTE chipsets, and they're clunky and power-hungry. LTE isn't really integrated with other network technologies yet; it's a separate modem slapped on top of, or next to, an existing chipset, which is why we haven't seen any really slim, elegant LTE phones yet.

Apple has always prioritized slim elegance over network speed, and the company is definitely concerned about battery life. Sticking with a high-speed HSPA network rather than nascent LTE lets Apple keep its phone slender and running all day.

I've seen devices designed with the new "single-chip LTE" solutions from Qualcomm, and they're noticeably slimmer and have better battery life than the current generation. They're all scheduled to come out in the third or fourth quarter of next year, though. Think ahead and that's perfect timing for the 2012 iPhone.

LTE networks are only just getting started in most of the world, anyway. Verizon's LTE network is ahead of the global pack, but AT&T won't have a widespread network until the middle of next year, and carriers in other countries are just ramping up now as well. Mid-2012, not mid-2011, is the sweet spot for launching a mainstream, global LTE smartphone.

AT&T will still get away with calling this phone 4G because it will almost certainly have HSPA 14.4, and perhaps HSPA+ 21. AT&T is the only company on Earth which considers HSPA 14.4 to be 4G, but that hasn't stopped it. Most of the industry now considers HSPA+ 21 to be a form of 4G. It's almost impossible to get a high-end GSM chipset without at least HSPA 14.4 nowadays, so assume that technology comes for free. Apple certainly won't turn it down.

This is going to create an interesting situation: if both Verizon and AT&T get the next iPhone at the same time, AT&T will call theirs "4G," but Verizon won't be able to. That may actually satisfy Apple; AT&T is its original, long-faithful partner, and this leaves AT&T feeling a little bit special. The difference won't much affect the iPhone's major global markets, because most countries use the AT&T version, not the Verizon CDMA device.

We'll have to see when the new iPhone comes out in September, October or 2012.

About Our Expert

Sascha Segan

Sascha Segan

Former Lead Analyst, Mobile

My Experience

I'm that 5G guy. I've actually been here for every "G." I reviewed well over a thousand products during 18 years working full-time at PCMag.com, including every generation of the iPhone and the Samsung Galaxy S. I also wrote a weekly newsletter, Fully Mobilized, where I obsessed about phones and networks.

My Areas of Expertise

  • US and Canadian mobile networks
  • Mobile phones released in the US
  • iPads, Android tablets, and ebook readers
  • Mobile hotspots
  • Big data features such as Fastest Mobile Networks and Best Work-From-Home Cities

The Technology I Use

Being cross-platform is critical for someone in my position. In the US, the mobile world is split pretty cleanly between iOS and Android. So I think it's really important to have Apple, Android and Windows devices all in my daily orbit.

I use a Lenovo ThinkPad Carbon X1 for work and a 2021 Apple MacBook Pro for personal use. My current phone is a Samsung Galaxy S21 Ultra, although I'm probably going to move to an Android foldable. Most of my writing is either in Microsoft OneNote or a free notepad app called Notepad++. Number crunching, which I do often for those big data stories, is via Microsoft Excel, DataGrip for MySQL, and Tableau.

In terms of apps and cloud services, I use both Google Drive and Microsoft OneDrive heavily, although I also have iCloud because of the three Macs and three iPads in our house. I subscribe to way too many streaming services. 

My primary tablet is a 12.9-inch, 2020-model Apple iPad Pro. When I want to read a book, I've got a 2018-model flat-front Amazon Kindle Paperwhite. My home smart speakers run Google Home, and I watch a TCL Roku TV. And Verizon Fios keeps me connected at home.

My first computer was an Atari 800 and my first cell phone was a Qualcomm Thin Phone. I still have very fond feelings about both of them.

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