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Verizon's CDMA May Last Another Decade

 & Sascha Segan Former Lead Analyst, Mobile

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CHICAGO—CDMA has more than a decade's worth of life left in it, a panel at the 4G World trade show said today, increasing the chances that any rumored Verizon iPhone will run on the carrier's legacy 3G CDMA network.

"It's going to be here for a long time, and it's going to coexist with LTE," said Adolfo Masini, a vice president at Alcatel Lucent. "It takes time for new technology to roll out, and CDMA is absolutely essential for the success of LTE as well."

As Verizon celebrates its upcoming LTE network and evidence comes together about an upcoming Verizon iPhone, one of the hot questions is whether the iPhone will run on the carrier's new, 4G LTE network or its older, 3G CDMA network. At the panel today, panelists emphasized that any device on a network like Verizon's that needs comprehensive voice coverage will probably have to stick with CDMA for quite a while.

The panel spent some time beating down myths about CDMA, such as that it's an infrequently used technology. While CDMA doesn't have quite the scale of GSM, it's used by 340 carriers in 120 countries and has a major user base in China, the panel said.

"There are 550 million people in the world using CDMA 1X or EVDO," said Joe Lawrence, vice president for marketing at the CDMA Development Group. "CDMA is going nowhere. It's driving competition, and it's creating enormous economies of scale."

Verizon's CDMA technology has been criticized for not allowing simultaneous voice and data connections and for having maximum speeds that are slower than the HSPA+ offered by AT&T and T-Mobile. Earlier this month, Verizon announced plans to roll out 4G LTE to 38 U.S. cities. LTE, which all the major U.S. carriers except Sprint have plans to adopt, will offer data speeds up to four times as fast as Verizon's current CDMA EVDO Rev A network.

Verizon rejected the next form of CDMA, known as Rev B. But even for carriers who aren't going to Rev B, CDMA isn't a dead-end technology, the panel members said. Two major new advancements, 1X Advanced and DO Advanced, will help CDMA networks keep their 3G systems fresh even as they lay down 4G networks as well. Verizon has also said they're working on an upgrade called Voice Over Rev A (VORA), which will enable simultaneous voice and data connections on CDMA.

"If you can consolidate your voice traffic into a third or a quarter of the number of carriers, that frees up spectum," said Paul Challoner, a vice president at Ericsson. "I can use this improvement … in terms of capacity, or can trade that off for a 65% coverage improvement."

DO Advanced, meanwhile, can improve data speeds and capacity through various software upgrades even on existing EVDO Rev A networks, Motorola product management director Kim Flowers said.

The panelists agreed that it's going to be a while before voice-over-LTE solutions become as cheap and as efficient as CDMA. That means carriers like Verizon and MetroPCS may be relying on CDMA for years.

"I believe that voice-over-LTE will take a long time," said Sean Cai, chief technical officer of handset and infrastructure manufacturer ZTE. "Circuit-switched [voice] is going to be a fallback."

 

About Our Expert

Sascha Segan

Sascha Segan

Former Lead Analyst, Mobile

My Experience

I'm that 5G guy. I've actually been here for every "G." I reviewed well over a thousand products during 18 years working full-time at PCMag.com, including every generation of the iPhone and the Samsung Galaxy S. I also wrote a weekly newsletter, Fully Mobilized, where I obsessed about phones and networks.

My Areas of Expertise

  • US and Canadian mobile networks
  • Mobile phones released in the US
  • iPads, Android tablets, and ebook readers
  • Mobile hotspots
  • Big data features such as Fastest Mobile Networks and Best Work-From-Home Cities

The Technology I Use

Being cross-platform is critical for someone in my position. In the US, the mobile world is split pretty cleanly between iOS and Android. So I think it's really important to have Apple, Android and Windows devices all in my daily orbit.

I use a Lenovo ThinkPad Carbon X1 for work and a 2021 Apple MacBook Pro for personal use. My current phone is a Samsung Galaxy S21 Ultra, although I'm probably going to move to an Android foldable. Most of my writing is either in Microsoft OneNote or a free notepad app called Notepad++. Number crunching, which I do often for those big data stories, is via Microsoft Excel, DataGrip for MySQL, and Tableau.

In terms of apps and cloud services, I use both Google Drive and Microsoft OneDrive heavily, although I also have iCloud because of the three Macs and three iPads in our house. I subscribe to way too many streaming services. 

My primary tablet is a 12.9-inch, 2020-model Apple iPad Pro. When I want to read a book, I've got a 2018-model flat-front Amazon Kindle Paperwhite. My home smart speakers run Google Home, and I watch a TCL Roku TV. And Verizon Fios keeps me connected at home.

My first computer was an Atari 800 and my first cell phone was a Qualcomm Thin Phone. I still have very fond feelings about both of them.

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